Friday, July 29, 2011

TS #1 (1960) and TS Arlene (1993) May Provide Helpful Context for TS Don's Surge



Infrared Satellite Image of TS Don (downloaded at 8:22AM CDT 7/29/11)



NHC forecast track for TS Don (downloaded at 8:22AM CDT 7/29/11)



Track of TS #1 (1960)



Track of TS Arlene (1993)


Image Source: Unisys Corporation (2011)

The National Hurricane Center's best track forecast for TS Don has shifted slightly south over the past 36 hours. This means that TS #1 (1960) and TS Arlene (1993) may provide the best historical context for TS Don's potential storm surge. Here is some information about those events:

Storm Name: TS #1
Storm Year: 1960
Landfall Location: S Texas
Maximum winds at landfall: ~ 46 MPH
Peak Surge: 3.5 feet
Peak Surge Location: Corpus Christi Bay

Storm Name: TS Arlene
Storm Year: 1993
Landfall Location: S Texas
Maximum winds at landfall: ~ 40 MPH
Peak Surge: 4 feet
Peak Surge Location: South and Central Texas Coast

Please stay tuned to your local media, local National Weather Service Forecast Office and the National Hurricane Center for official wind and storm surge forecasts.

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